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Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by June 30?

7.4%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by June 30?" has a probability of 7.4%. Trading volume: $43K.

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Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 4h ago
Volume
$43K
Volume 24h
$1K
Liquidity
$13K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
7.4% / 7.5%
Spread
0.1%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Jun 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Giorgia Meloni ceases to be the Prime Minister of Italy for any period of time between December 5, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Giorgia Melon's resignation/removal before…

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

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