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Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?

56.0%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?" has a probability of 56.0%. Trading volume: $112K.

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Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 4h ago
Volume
$112K
Volume 24h
$494
Liquidity
$22K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
55.0% / 57.0%
Spread
2.0%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Dec 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Miguel Díaz-Canel ceases to be President of Cuba for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Miguel Díaz-Canel's resignation/removal before this m…

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

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