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Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?

97.2%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?" has a probability of 97.2%. Trading volume: $510K.

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Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 2h ago
Volume
$510K
Volume 24h
$421K
Liquidity
$23K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
97.0% / 97.3%
Spread
0.3%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Apr 2026
This market will resolve according to the next date Iran Standard Time (GMT+3:30), on which neither the US nor Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confir…

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

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