Nate Silver vs Manifold: Trump 2nd Term Predictions — [Economy] Total federal government tax receipts, including tariffs, are lower as a share of GDP in 2027 than in 2023 (Nate: 70%)

On Manifold Markets, "Nate Silver vs Manifold: Trump 2nd Term Predictions — [Economy] Total federal government tax receipts, including tariffs, are lower as a share of GDP in 2027 than in 2023 (Nate: 70%)" has a probability of 78.2%.