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Nate Silver vs Manifold: Trump 2nd Term Predictions — [Silicon Valley] Trump or his successors sign any law limiting the scope of Section 230 of the Communications Decency Act by 11/7/2028, reducing liability protections for social media companies (Nate: 60%)

71.6%
Probability on Manifold Markets

On Manifold Markets, "Nate Silver vs Manifold: Trump 2nd Term Predictions — [Silicon Valley] Trump or his successors sign any law limiting the scope of Section 230 of the Communications Decency Act by 11/7/2028, reducing liability protections for social media companies (Nate: 60%)" has a probability of 71.6%.

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Probability Over Time
Market Details
Manifold Markets
Updated 2h ago
Volume
Volume 24h
Liquidity
Traders
170 traders
Bid / Ask
— / —
Spread
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Feb 2029

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Manifold Markets only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

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