On Manifold Markets, "Number of operational nuclear reactors in the world has surpasses 800 anytime before mid 2039" has a probability of 26.3%.
View on Manifold Markets →This question is currently tracked on Manifold Markets only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →
The only prediction market aggregator with academically validated cross-platform consensus.