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Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?

52.0%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?" has a probability of 52.0%. Trading volume: $1.5M.

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Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 11h ago
Volume
$1.5M
Volume 24h
$21K
Liquidity
$44K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
51.0% / 53.0%
Spread
2.0%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Jul 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine before Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US. Otherwise, this market will …

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

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