MethodologyAPI
Home › Politics › SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots afte...

SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?

68.5%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?" has a probability of 68.5%. Trading volume: $29K.

View on Polymarket →
Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 2h ago
Volume
$29K
Volume 24h
$48
Liquidity
$37K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
68.0% / 69.0%
Spread
1.0%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Aug 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States Supreme Court, in Watson v. Republican National Committee, rules that the federal election-day statutes preempt a state law that allows ballots cast by federal Election Day to be received and counted after election day, by Au…

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

Odds Raven

The only prediction market aggregator with academically validated cross-platform consensus.

Product
HomeConsensus 2+Multi-OutcomeChangelog
Learn
AboutMethodologyFAQAPI
Legal
PrivacyTermsContact
© 2026 Odds Raven · Data refreshed every 6 hours · peer-reviewed methodology