MethodologyAPI
Home › Politics › Starmer out by December 31, 2026?

Starmer out by December 31, 2026?

53.5%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Starmer out by December 31, 2026?" has a probability of 53.5%. Trading volume: $938K.

View on Polymarket →
Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 5h ago
Volume
$938K
Volume 24h
$12K
Liquidity
$45K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
53.0% / 54.0%
Spread
1.0%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Dec 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between November 5, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation…

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

Odds Raven

The only prediction market aggregator with academically validated cross-platform consensus.

Product
HomeConsensus 2+Multi-OutcomeChangelog
Learn
AboutMethodologyFAQAPI
Legal
PrivacyTermsContact
© 2026 Odds Raven · Data refreshed every 6 hours · peer-reviewed methodology