Home › Politics › Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

24.5%

Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Starmer out by June 30, 2026?" has a probability of 24.5%. Trading volume: $1.4M.

View on Polymarket →

Probability Over Time

Market Details

Polymarket

Updated 19m ago

Volume

$1.4M

Volume 24h

$11K

Liquidity

$48K

Traders

—

Bid / Ask

24.0% / 25.0%

Spread

1.0%

Opened

Apr 2026

Resolves

Jun 2026

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between September 14, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/r…

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

Odds Raven

The only prediction market aggregator with academically validated cross-platform consensus.

Product

Home Consensus 2+Multi-Outcome Changelog

Learn

About Methodology FAQ API

Legal

Privacy Terms Contact