MethodologyAPI
Home › Politics › Tariff increase on Canada in effect by...

Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?

12.5%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?" has a probability of 12.5%. Trading volume: $30K.

View on Polymarket →
Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 2h ago
Volume
$30K
Volume 24h
—
Liquidity
$10K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
12.0% / 13.0%
Spread
1.0%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Jun 2026
On January 24, President Trump announced that the United States would apply a 100% tariff to all imports from Canada if a trade deal with China goes through. (see: https://www.reuters.com/world/china/trump-threatens-canada-with-100-tariff-over-possible-deal-with-china-2026-01-24/…

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

Odds Raven

The only prediction market aggregator with academically validated cross-platform consensus.

Product
HomeConsensus 2+Multi-OutcomeChangelog
Learn
AboutMethodologyFAQAPI
Legal
PrivacyTermsContact
© 2026 Odds Raven · Data refreshed every 6 hours · peer-reviewed methodology