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Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?

42.5%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?" has a probability of 42.5%. Trading volume: $4.1M.

View on Polymarket →
Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 2h ago
Volume
$4.1M
Volume 24h
$295K
Liquidity
$123K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
42.0% / 43.0%
Spread
1.0%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Apr 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “N…

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

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