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Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?

71.5%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?" has a probability of 71.5%. Trading volume: $143K.

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Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 11h ago
Volume
$143K
Volume 24h
$32K
Liquidity
$107K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
71.0% / 72.0%
Spread
1.0%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
May 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “N…

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

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