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Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026?

8.5%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026?" has a probability of 8.5%. Trading volume: $139K.

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Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 1h ago
Volume
$139K
Volume 24h
$70K
Liquidity
$34K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
8.0% / 9.0%
Spread
1.0%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Apr 2026
On April 7–8, 2026, the United States and Iran agreed to a temporary two-week ceasefire aimed at halting direct hostilities and de-escalating the ongoing conflict. This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the US military publicly and officially…

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

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