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Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?

19.5%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?" has a probability of 19.5%. Trading volume: $71K.

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Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 2h ago
Volume
$71K
Volume 24h
$33K
Liquidity
$12K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
19.0% / 20.0%
Spread
1.0%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Apr 2026
On April 7–8, 2026, the United States and Iran agreed to a temporary two-week ceasefire aimed at halting direct hostilities and de-escalating the ongoing conflict. This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the US military publicly and officially…

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

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