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U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

11.0%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? " has a probability of 11.0%. Trading volume: $139K.

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Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 5h ago
Volume
$139K
Volume 24h
$108
Liquidity
$27K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
10.0% / 12.0%
Spread
2.0%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Dec 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States formally commits to giving Ukraine a security guarantee, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed deal between the Trump administration and the Government of Ukraine which creates a binding obligation for the Unite…

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

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