MethodologyAPI
Home › Geopolitics › US escorts commercial ship through Hor...

US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?

7.1%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?" has a probability of 7.1%. Trading volume: $605K.

View on Polymarket →
Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 11h ago
Volume
$605K
Volume 24h
$36K
Liquidity
$36K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
7.0% / 7.2%
Spread
0.2%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Apr 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States military or federal government officially announces that it will escort, is escorting, or has escorted, any commercial ship through the Strait of Hormuz by April 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “…

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

Odds Raven

The only prediction market aggregator with academically validated cross-platform consensus.

Product
HomeConsensus 2+Multi-OutcomeChangelog
Learn
AboutMethodologyFAQAPI
Legal
PrivacyTermsContact
© 2026 Odds Raven · Data refreshed every 6 hours · peer-reviewed methodology