MethodologyAPI
Home › Geopolitics › US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?

US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?

19.1%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?" has a probability of 19.1%. Trading volume: $725K.

View on Polymarket →
Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 11h ago
Volume
$725K
Volume 24h
$35K
Liquidity
$33K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
18.6% / 19.6%
Spread
1.0%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Apr 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will …

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

Odds Raven

The only prediction market aggregator with academically validated cross-platform consensus.

Product
HomeConsensus 2+Multi-OutcomeChangelog
Learn
AboutMethodologyFAQAPI
Legal
PrivacyTermsContact
© 2026 Odds Raven · Data refreshed every 6 hours · peer-reviewed methodology