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US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?

17.5%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?" has a probability of 17.5%. Trading volume: $1.7M.

View on Polymarket →
Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 11h ago
Volume
$1.7M
Volume 24h
$167K
Liquidity
$87K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
17.0% / 18.0%
Spread
1.0%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
May 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the US government or military officially announces or confirms that it has gained possession of any quantity of enriched uranium previously controlled by Iran by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. “Possess…

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

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