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US x China Military clash before 2027?

8.0%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "US x China Military clash before 2027?" has a probability of 8.0%. Trading volume: $64K.

View on Polymarket →
Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 5h ago
Volume
$64K
Volume 24h
$437
Liquidity
$32K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
7.0% / 9.0%
Spread
2.0%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Dec 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of China (People's Republic of China) and the United States between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "military encount…

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

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