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US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

42.5%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?" has a probability of 42.5%. Trading volume: $104K.

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Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 2h ago
Volume
$104K
Volume 24h
$60K
Liquidity
$36K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
42.0% / 43.0%
Spread
1.0%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
May 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran and the United states agree to a permanent peace deal by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A permanent peace deal refers to any agreement which explicitly indicates that military hostilities b…

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

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