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US x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?

3.1%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "US x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?" has a probability of 3.1%. Trading volume: $62K.

View on Polymarket →
Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 3h ago
Volume
$62K
Volume 24h
$458
Liquidity
$23K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
2.3% / 4.0%
Spread
1.7%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Jun 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of the United States and Russia between May 28 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving …

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

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