On Manifold Markets, "What is the risk-free interest rate on Manifold, now that loans are ~~gone~~ back? — Resolves No at end of 2030" has a probability of 1.1%.
View on Manifold Markets →This question is currently tracked on Manifold Markets only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →
The only prediction market aggregator with academically validated cross-platform consensus.