On Manifold Markets, "What will be true of season 1 of the new Harry Potter reboot series? — Ron Weasley doesn't cast a single, spoken, working spell in the first two episodes" has a probability of 89.6%.
View on Manifold Markets →This question is currently tracked on Manifold Markets only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →
The only prediction market aggregator with academically validated cross-platform consensus.