On Manifold Markets, "What Will Happen During Trump's Second Term (2025-2029)? — any hormone replacement therapy drug outlawed for treating gender dysphoria in any state" has a probability of 72.0%.
View on Manifold Markets →This question is currently tracked on Manifold Markets only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →
The only prediction market aggregator with academically validated cross-platform consensus.