On Manifold Markets, "What Will Happen During Trump's Second Term (2025-2029)? — United States reaches 7.6 or lower in Democracy index (EIU)" has a probability of 87.6%.
View on Manifold Markets →This question is currently tracked on Manifold Markets only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →
The only prediction market aggregator with academically validated cross-platform consensus.