On Manifold Markets, "What will happen related to the Hantavirus in 2026? — At least 10,000 cases are detected" has a probability of 10.8%.
View on Manifold Markets →This question is currently tracked on Manifold Markets only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →
The only prediction market aggregator with academically validated cross-platform consensus.