Which job should I accept? [M$10,000 subsidy] — If I accept the Genesis job, what will be my bonus in my first full year? (At a rate of 1 percentage point = $3000. So e.g. if it's $100k this answer resolves to 33%.)

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On Manifold Markets, "Which job should I accept? [M$10,000 subsidy] — If I accept the Genesis job, what will be my bonus in my first full year? (At a rate of 1 percentage point = $3000. So e.g. if it's $100k this answer resolves to 33%.)" has a probability of 62.2%.

Which job should I accept? [M$10,000 subsidy] — If I accept the Genesis job, what will be my bonus in my first full year? (At a rate of 1 percentage point = $3000. So e.g. if it's $100k this answer resolves to 33%.)

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