On Manifold Markets, "Which senate flip is more likely? Dems take TX or OH, or Reps take GA or MI? — both" has a probability of 2.1%.
View on Manifold Markets →This question is currently tracked on Manifold Markets only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →
The only prediction market aggregator with academically validated cross-platform consensus.