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Will 1150 to 1199 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?

5.1%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Will 1150 to 1199 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?" has a probability of 5.1%. Trading volume: $1K.

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Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 2h ago
Volume
$1K
Volume 24h
—
Liquidity
$1K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
1.3% / 9.0%
Spread
7.7%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Jan 2027
This market will resolve according to the number of tornadoes recorded in the United States in 2026, based on the monthly counts published on the National Centers for Environmental Information U.S. Tornadoes Time Series page (see: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/torna…

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

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