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Will 2–3 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?

47.0%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Will 2–3 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?" has a probability of 47.0%. Trading volume: $5K.

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Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 1h ago
Volume
$5K
Volume 24h
$72
Liquidity
$12K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
46.0% / 48.0%
Spread
2.0%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Apr 2026
This market will resolve based on the number of distinct commercial vessels on which Iranian forces conduct a kinetic strike or otherwise seize control between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Attacks on military vessels will not be considered. Only military act…

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