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Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

11.5%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?" has a probability of 11.5%. Trading volume: $2.2M.

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Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 5h ago
Volume
$2.2M
Volume 24h
$83
Liquidity
$13K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
10.3% / 12.7%
Spread
2.4%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Sep 2026
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as …

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

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