On Manifold Markets, "Will Anthropic have the largest IPO by market cap in 2026? — No [SpaceX < Anthropic < Other company]" has a probability of 0.5%.
View on Manifold Markets →This question is currently tracked on Manifold Markets only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →
The only prediction market aggregator with academically validated cross-platform consensus.