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Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?

13.5%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?" has a probability of 13.5%. Trading volume: $54K.

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Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 2h ago
Volume
$54K
Volume 24h
$64
Liquidity
$13K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
13.0% / 14.0%
Spread
1.0%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Oct 2026
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Brazil on October 4, 2026. A second round will be held if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherw…

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

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