HomeGeopolitics › Will Canada send warships through the ...

Will Canada send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?

1.4%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Will Canada send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?" has a probability of 1.4%. Trading volume: $79K.

View on Polymarket →
Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 34m ago
Volume
$79K
Volume 24h
$4K
Liquidity
$19K
Traders
Bid / Ask
1.3% / 1.4%
Spread
0.1%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Apr 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a national government, its military, or a broad consensus of credible reporting confirms that the listed country's warships transited through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A …

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

Odds Raven

The only prediction market aggregator with academically validated cross-platform consensus.

© 2026 Odds Raven · Data refreshed every 6 hours · peer-reviewed methodology