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Will Fernando Haddad finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

7.6%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Will Fernando Haddad finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?" has a probability of 7.6%. Trading volume: $632K.

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Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 2h ago
Volume
$632K
Volume 24h
$5K
Liquidity
$23K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
7.5% / 7.8%
Spread
0.3%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Oct 2026
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number …

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

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