MethodologyAPI
Home › Politics › Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list...

Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?

3.2%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?" has a probability of 3.2%. Trading volume: $590K.

View on Polymarket →
Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 1h ago
Volume
$590K
Volume 24h
$15K
Liquidity
$20K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
3.1% / 3.4%
Spread
0.3%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Apr 2026
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list. This market will resolve according to…

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

Odds Raven

The only prediction market aggregator with academically validated cross-platform consensus.

Product
HomeConsensus 2+Multi-OutcomeChangelog
Learn
AboutMethodologyFAQAPI
Legal
PrivacyTermsContact
© 2026 Odds Raven · Data refreshed every 6 hours · peer-reviewed methodology