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Will France strike Iran by April 30?

0.8%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Will France strike Iran by April 30?" has a probability of 0.8%. Trading volume: $164K.

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Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 11h ago
Volume
$164K
Volume 24h
$2K
Liquidity
$9K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
0.6% / 0.9%
Spread
0.3%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Apr 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes o…

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

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