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Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?

15.5%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?" has a probability of 15.5%. Trading volume: $46K.

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Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 4h ago
Volume
$46K
Volume 24h
$763
Liquidity
$21K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
15.0% / 16.0%
Spread
1.0%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Dec 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gavin Newsom officially announces that he is running for U.S. President in the 2028 presidential election, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For the purpose of resolving this market, an announcem…

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

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