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Will Ian Noel Smyth win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?

0.4%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Will Ian Noel Smyth win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?" has a probability of 0.4%. Trading volume: $6K.

View on Polymarket →
Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 5h ago
Volume
$6K
Volume 24h
—
Liquidity
$7K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
0.4% / 0.5%
Spread
0.1%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Dec 2026
A by-election for a seat from the Dublin Central constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026to fill the vacancy left by the resignation of Paschal Donohoe. This market will resolve according to the candida…

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

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