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Will Ilhan Omar be the Democratic Nominee for MN-05?

86.0%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Will Ilhan Omar be the Democratic Nominee for MN-05?" has a probability of 86.0%. Trading volume: $17K.

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Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 4h ago
Volume
$17K
Volume 24h
—
Liquidity
$18K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
85.0% / 87.0%
Spread
2.0%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Aug 2026
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026. If…

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

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