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Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?

0.4%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?" has a probability of 0.4%. Trading volume: $219K.

View on Polymarket →
Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 1h ago
Volume
$219K
Volume 24h
$93K
Liquidity
$23K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
0.3% / 0.5%
Spread
0.2%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Apr 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Israel’s soil on the listed date in Israel Time (GMT+2). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bom…

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

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