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Will Iran strike Ghawar Field by April 30?

17.0%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Will Iran strike Ghawar Field by April 30?" has a probability of 17.0%. Trading volume: $6K.

View on Polymarket →
Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 31m ago
Volume
$6K
Volume 24h
—
Liquidity
$8K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
16.0% / 18.0%
Spread
2.0%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Apr 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran carries out a kinetic military strike on the listed facility between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bo…

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

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