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Will Iran strike the United Kingdom by April 30, 2026?

2.4%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Will Iran strike the United Kingdom by April 30, 2026?" has a probability of 2.4%. Trading volume: $18K.

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Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 33m ago
Volume
$18K
Volume 24h
$6K
Liquidity
$12K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
1.7% / 3.0%
Spread
1.3%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Apr 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on the listed country's soil or any official embassy or consulate of the listed country between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For…

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

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