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Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?

16.6%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?" has a probability of 16.6%. Trading volume: $1.9M.

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Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 30m ago
Volume
$1.9M
Volume 24h
$1K
Liquidity
$14K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
15.6% / 17.5%
Spread
1.9%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Dec 2026
This market will resolve according to the total number of different countries' soil that Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country th…

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

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