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Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

85.5%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?" has a probability of 85.5%. Trading volume: $101K.

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Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 5h ago
Volume
$101K
Volume 24h
$3K
Liquidity
$15K
Traders
Bid / Ask
85.0% / 86.0%
Spread
1.0%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
May 2026
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the greatest nu…

Single Platform Data

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