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Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by April 30?

92.5%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by April 30?" has a probability of 92.5%. Trading volume: $51K.

View on Polymarket →
Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 5h ago
Volume
$51K
Volume 24h
$9K
Liquidity
$10K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
92.0% / 93.0%
Spread
1.0%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Apr 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if JD Vance talks with at least one Iranian negotiator by the listed date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Qualifying Iranian negotiators are representatives of Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to en…

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

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