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Will Juan Pablo Velasco win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?

54.2%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Will Juan Pablo Velasco win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?" has a probability of 54.2%. Trading volume: $307K.

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Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 2h ago
Volume
$307K
Volume 24h
$2K
Liquidity
$14K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
52.8% / 55.7%
Spread
2.9%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Apr 2026
The Santa Cruz gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "O…

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

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