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Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?

94.2%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?" has a probability of 94.2%. Trading volume: $3.6M.

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Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 2h ago
Volume
$3.6M
Volume 24h
$197K
Liquidity
$134K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
94.0% / 94.3%
Spread
0.3%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
Oct 2026
This market will resolve according to the next individual formally confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve. Formal confirmation as Chair of the Federal Reserve requires the Senate to confirm a nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve. Recess appointments without Senate confirma…

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

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