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Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

15.4%
Probability on Polymarket

On Polymarket, "Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?" has a probability of 15.4%. Trading volume: $19K.

View on Polymarket →
Probability Over Time
Market Details
Polymarket
Updated 31m ago
Volume
$19K
Volume 24h
$2K
Liquidity
$7K
Traders
—
Bid / Ask
12.6% / 18.2%
Spread
5.6%
Opened
Apr 2026
Resolves
—
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the Stat…

Single Platform Data

This question is currently tracked on Polymarket only. When the same question appears on additional platforms, we compute a cross-platform consensus probability. Learn about our methodology →

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